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Financing & Cash Flow

Building a 13-week cash flow forecast

A rolling weekly forecast that shows cash shortfalls early enough to act on them.

Business Sapience Inc. · Last reviewed · 4 min read

Key points

  • Thirteen weeks (one quarter) is short enough to be accurate and long enough to act.
  • Forecast actual cash timing, not revenue and expenses.
  • Update weekly and compare actuals to forecast so it gets more accurate over time.

Why weekly, why 13 weeks

Monthly profit-and-loss statements hide timing. Payroll, rent, HST remittances and large supplier payments can all land in the same week. A weekly view over one quarter shows the pinch points in time to talk to the bank, chase receivables or defer spending.

Building it

  1. Opening cash: start from the reconciled bank balance.
  2. Receipts: use the AR aging and each customer's actual payment behaviour, not invoice terms, to place collections in the week you expect the cash.
  3. Payroll: net pay on each pay date, and source deductions on their remittance dates.
  4. Fixed payments: rent, loan payments, leases, insurance, subscriptions.
  5. Suppliers: from the AP aging and expected purchases.
  6. Taxes: GST/HST and corporate instalments on their due dates.
  7. Net and closing cash for each week, against a minimum cash buffer you set.

Keeping it useful

  • Each week, record actuals, roll forward one week, and explain large variances.
  • Flag any week where closing cash falls below the buffer, and note the action you will take.
  • Keep assumptions visible. Lenders and investors will ask for them.

Need help applying this to your business?

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